2002鍖椾含澶у蹇冪悊緇熻鐪熼_璺ㄨ€冪綉

澶嶄範(fàn)绱у紶錛岀劍澶寸儌棰濓紵閫嗛杞昏錛屾潵璺ㄨ€冪瀛ｉ泦璁惀錛屽府浣犲鏂規(guī)硶錛屽畾鏂規(guī)錛?/span> 浜嗚В涓€涓?>

銆€銆€涓€銆侀€夋嫨

銆€銆€1銆佽皟鏌ヤ簡n=200涓笉鍚屽勾榫勭粍鐨勮璇曞鎵嬭〃鏄劇ず鍋忓ソ紼嬪害

銆€銆€騫撮緞緇?鍋忓ソ紼嬪害

銆€銆€鏁板瓧鏄劇ず 閽堥潰鏄劇ず 涓嶇‘瀹?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€30宀佹垨浠ヤ笅 90 40 10

銆€銆€30宀佷互涓?span lang="EN-US"> 10 40 10

銆€銆€璇ラ鑷彉閲忎笌鍥犲彉閲忕殑鏁版嵁綾誨瀷鍒嗗埆鏄細(xì)

銆€銆€a銆佺被鐩瀷-欏哄簭鍨?span lang="EN-US"> b銆佽鏁板瀷-絳夋瘮鍨?span lang="EN-US"> c銆侀『搴忓瀷-絳夎窛鍨?span lang="EN-US"> d銆侀『搴忓瀷-鍛藉悕鍨?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€2銆佹煇涓崟宄板垎甯冪殑浼楁暟涓?span lang="EN-US">15錛屽潎鍊兼槸10錛岃繖涓垎甯冨簲璇ユ槸

銆€銆€a銆佹鎬佸垎甯?span lang="EN-US"> b銆佹鍋忔€佸垎甯?span lang="EN-US"> c銆佽礋鍋忔€佸垎甯?span lang="EN-US"> d銆佹棤娉曠‘瀹?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€3銆佺幇鏈?span lang="EN-US">8鍚嶉潰璇曞畼瀵?span lang="EN-US">25鍚嶆眰鑱岃€呯殑闈㈣瘯榪囩▼鍋氱瓑綰ц瘎瀹氾紝涓轟簡瑙ｈ繖8浣嶉潰璇曞鐨勮瘎浠蜂竴鑷存€х▼搴︼紝鏈€閫傚疁鐨勭粺璁℃柟娉曟槸姹?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€a銆?span lang="EN-US">spearman鐩稿叧緋繪暟 b銆佺Н宸浉鍏崇郴鏁?span lang="EN-US"> c銆佽偗寰峰皵鍜岃皭緋繪暟 d銆佺偣浜屽垪鐩稿叧緋繪暟

銆€銆€4銆佷竴涓崟欏歸€夋嫨鏈?span lang="EN-US">48閬撻錛屾瘡棰樻湁鍥涗釜琚€夐」錛岀敤a=0.05鍗曚晶媯€楠屾爣鍑嗭紝鑷沖皯搴斿澶氬皯棰?鎴愮嘩鏄捐憲浼樹簬鍗曞嚟鐚滄祴

銆€銆€a銆?span lang="EN-US">16棰?span lang="EN-US"> b銆?span lang="EN-US">17棰?span lang="EN-US"> c銆?span lang="EN-US">18棰?span lang="EN-US"> d銆?span lang="EN-US">19棰?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€5銆佷互涓嬪叧浜庡亣璁炬楠岀殑鍛介鍝竴涓槸姝ｇ‘鐨?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€a銆佸疄楠岃€呯敳鐢?span lang="EN-US">a=0.05鐨勬爣鍑嗭紝瀹為獙鑰呬箼鐢?span lang="EN-US">a=0.01鐨勬爣鍑嗭紝鐢茬綍鐘?span lang="EN-US">II綾婚敊璇殑 姒傜巼涓€瀹?浼?xì)澶т簬涔欏Q?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€b銆佺粺璁℃晥鍔涙€諱笉浼?xì)姣?span lang="EN-US">Alpha姘村鉤灝?span lang="EN-US"> 1-b=a

銆€銆€c銆佹墿澶ф牱鏈閲忕姱II綾婚敊璇殑姒傜巼澧炲姞

銆€銆€d銆佷袱涓€諱綋闂村樊寮傚皬錛屾紜殑鎷掔粷铏氭棤鍋囪鐨勬満浼?xì)澧炲姞銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€6銆佷竴浣嶇爺絀惰€呰皟鏌ヤ簡n=100鐨勫ぇ瀛︾敓姣忓懆鐢ㄤ簬浣撹偛閿葷偧鐨勬椂闂村拰鍖葷敓瀵瑰叾鍋ュ療鐘跺喌鐨勬€諱綋 璇勪環(huán)錛?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€寰楀埌縐樊鐩稿叧緋繪暟r=.43錛岀敱姝ゅ彲浠ユ帹鐭ヤ互涓嬪摢涓粨璁?span lang="EN-US">?

銆€銆€a銆侀殢鏈烘娊鍙栧彟澶?span lang="EN-US">100涓仴搴風(fēng)姸鍐典綆浜庤繖嬈¤皟鏌ュ鉤鍧囧€肩殑澶у鐢燂紝璋冩煡鍏舵瘡鍛ㄧ敤浜庝綋鑲查敾 鐐肩殑鏃墮棿錛屼細(xì)寰楀埌鎺ヨ繎r=.43鐨勭Н宸浉鍏崇郴鏁?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€b銆佺敤澶у鐢熸瘡鍛ㄧ敤浜庝綋鑲查敾鐐肩殑鏃墮棿鏉ラ嫻嬪叾鍋ュ悍鐘跺喌鐨勮瘎浠峰噯紜巼涓?span lang="EN-US">43%

銆€銆€c銆佸ぇ瀛︾敓鐢ㄤ簬浣撹偛閿葷偧鐨勬椂闂撮暱鐭獎鍝嶅叾鍋ュ悍鐘跺喌

銆€銆€d銆佷互涓婇兘涓嶅錛屽洜涓轟笉鐭ラ亾r=.43涓?span lang="EN-US">r=0鏄惁鏈夋樉钁楀樊寮?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€7銆佸凡鐭?span lang="EN-US">X鍜?span lang="EN-US">Y鐨勭浉鍏崇郴鏁?span lang="EN-US">r1鏄?span lang="EN-US">0.38錛屽湪0.05鐨勬按騫充笂鏄捐憲錛?span lang="EN-US">A涓?span lang="EN-US">B鐨勭浉鍏崇郴鏁?span lang="EN-US">r2鏄?span lang="EN-US">0.18錛屽湪0.05鐨勬按騫充笂涓嶆樉钁?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€a銆?span lang="EN-US">r1涓?span lang="EN-US">r2鍦?span lang="EN-US">0.05姘村鉤涓婂樊寮傛樉钁?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€b銆?span lang="EN-US">r1涓?span lang="EN-US">r2鍦ㄧ粺璁′笂鑲畾鏈夋樉钁楀樊寮?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€c銆佹棤娉曟帹鐭?span lang="EN-US">r1涓?span lang="EN-US">r2鍦ㄧ粺璁′笂宸紓鏄惁鏄捐憲

銆€銆€d銆?span lang="EN-US">r1涓?span lang="EN-US">r2鍦ㄧ粺璁′笂涓嶅瓨鍦ㄦ樉钁楀樊寮?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€8銆佸湪鍥炲綊鏂圭▼涓紝鍘熻鍏朵粬鍥犵礌淇濇寔涓嶅彉錛屽綋X涓?span lang="EN-US">Y鐩稿叧瓚嬭繎浜?span lang="EN-US">0鏃訛紝浼拌鐨勬爣鍑嗚鏄€庢牱鍙樺寲?

銆€銆€a銆佷笉鍙?span lang="EN-US"> b銆佹彁楂?span lang="EN-US"> c銆侀檷浣?span lang="EN-US"> d銆佷篃瓚嬭繎浜?span lang="EN-US">0

銆€銆€9銆佸湪鍥犵礌鍒嗘瀽涓紝姣忎釜鍥犵礌鍦ㄦ墍鏈夊彉閲忕殑鍥犵礌璐熻嵎鐨勫鉤鏂瑰拰鎴愪負(fù)璇ュ洜绱犵殑錛?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€a銆佽礎(chǔ)鐚巼 b銆佸叡鍚屾€?span lang="EN-US"> c銆佺壒寰佸€?span lang="EN-US"> d銆佸叕鍏卞洜绱犳柟宸?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€10銆佸湪涓繪垚鍒嗗垎鏋愮殑鏂規(guī)硶涓€傚摢涓€涓笉鏄敤鏉ュ喅瀹氭娊鍙栧洜绱犵殑鏁扮洰鐨勬牴鎹?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€a銆佺鐭沖浘 b銆佸洜绱犳墍瑙ｉ噴鐨勬柟宸櫨鍒嗘瘮鍜岀瘡璁＄櫨鍒嗘瘮 c銆佸洜绱犵殑鍙В閲婃€?span lang="EN-US"> d銆?span lang="EN-US">X鏄惁杈?鍒扮粺璁＄殑鏄捐憲鎬?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€浜屻€佸～絀?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€1銆佸浜庝笅鍒楁牱鏈?span lang="EN-US">l銆?span lang="EN-US">4銆?span lang="EN-US">3銆?span lang="EN-US">6銆?span lang="EN-US">2銆?span lang="EN-US">7銆?span lang="EN-US">18銆?span lang="EN-US">3銆?span lang="EN-US">7銆?span lang="EN-US">2銆?span lang="EN-US">4銆?span lang="EN-US">3鍏墮€傚疁鐨勯泦涓噺鏁版槸( )錛屽叾鍊?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鏄?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€( )錛屽叾閫傚疁鐨勭涓噺鏁版槸( )銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€2銆佹湁涓€涓鐢熺殑鎴愮嘩浣庝簬騫沖潎鎴愮嘩涓€涓爣鍑嗗樊錛屼粬鍦ㄨ鐝殑鐧懼垎浣嶇偣鏄?span lang="EN-US">( )銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€3銆佷竴緇勫疄楠屽垎鏁拌繎浼兼鎬佸垎甯冿紝鍏跺鉤鍧囧垎涓?span lang="EN-US">65.5錛屾爣鍑嗗樊涓?span lang="EN-US">5鍒嗭紝闂垎鏁板湪55.5鍒嗗拰75.5

銆€銆€鍒嗕箣闂?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鐨勪漢鏁頒笌鍏ㄤ綋鑰冪敓鎬諱漢鏁扮殑鐧懼垎姣旀槸( )銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€4銆佷竴鑸漢緹や腑姣忓勾婧冪枴鐨勬?zhèn)ｇ梾鐜囦?span lang="EN-US">40%錛屽湪涓€涓?span lang="EN-US">200鍚嶇殑CEO鐨勬牱鏈腑錛岃繎12涓湀涓湁32涓?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鎮(zhèn)ｆ簝

銆€銆€鐤°€備負(fù)媯€楠?span lang="EN-US">CEO涓庝竴鑸漢緹ゆ簝鐤＄殑鎮(zhèn)ｇ梾鐜囨槸鍚︿笉鍚岋紝闇€鐢?span lang="EN-US">( )媯€楠岋紝鎵€寰楀埌鐨勭粺璁￠噺涓?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€( )錛岀粨

銆€銆€璁轟負(fù)( )銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€5銆佷竴浣嶇爺絀惰€呮姤鍛婇噸澶嶆祴閲忕殑鏂瑰樊鍒嗘瀽涓紝F媯€楠岀殑緇撴灉鏄?span lang="EN-US">F(2錛?span lang="EN-US">8)=4.29錛屾牴鎹緇撴灉

銆€銆€鍙煡姝?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鐮旂┒鏈?span lang="EN-US">( )涓璇曘€?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€6銆佷竴浣嶇爺絀惰€呰皟鏌ヤ簡n=200鐨勯潚灝戝勾鏍鋒湰錛屽彂鐜伴槄璇誨垎鏁頒笌鏌愪釜鑴戠數(shù)鎸囨爣鐨勭浉鍏蟲槸0.12銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€浠栬繘涓€

銆€銆€姝ユ娊鍙栦簡鏋佺緇勶紝鍙戠幇杞誨井闃呰闅滅鐨勫効绔ヤ笌鍚屾牱鎸囨爣鐨勭浉鍏沖鍔犲埌0.61錛屼綘濡備綍瑙ｉ噴榪?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€涓樊寮?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€( )銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€7銆佺敤鍙橀噺X棰勬祴鍙橀噺Y錛屽凡鐭?span lang="EN-US">X鍜屾柟鏄?span lang="EN-US">5錛屽洖褰掔嚎鐨勭宸箻縐拰鏄?span lang="EN-US">10錛屽彉閲?span lang="EN-US">X銆?span lang="EN-US">Y鐨勫潎鍊間負(fù)

銆€銆€X=2錛?span lang="EN-US">Y=4錛?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€棰勬祴鍙橀噺Y鐨勫洖褰掓柟紼嬫槸( )銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€8銆佹湁n=102鐨勬暟鎹紝宸茬煡縐樊鐩稿叧緋繪暟r=0.06錛?span lang="EN-US">Y鐨勫拰鏂?span lang="EN-US">SSy=100錛屽鏋滆繖浜涙暟鎹綔涓哄緩绔?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鍥炲綊鏂?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€紼嬬殑鏍規(guī)嵁錛屽垯浼拌鐨勬爣鍑嗚鏄?span lang="EN-US">( )銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€9銆佸凡鐭?span lang="EN-US">Y鐨勫洖褰掓柟紼嬫槸Y=2.4X-0.2錛?span lang="EN-US">SSx=10錛?span lang="EN-US">SSy=90錛?span lang="EN-US">SSe=32.40錛屽彉閲?span lang="EN-US">X涓?span lang="EN-US">Y鐨勭Н宸浉鍏崇郴

銆€銆€鏁版槸

銆€銆€( )銆?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€10銆佷竴浣嶄笓瀹惰5涓毚鍔涚姜鐘拰5涓ぇ瀛︾敓鍐欎竴孌墊枃瀛楋紝鐒跺悗灝嗗叾絎旇鎸夊叾瀛楄瀵熷弽紺句細(xì)浜?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鏍肩殑紼?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€搴︼紝浠?span lang="EN-US">1-10鎺掑垪錛岀爺絀惰€呭簲瀵瑰叾鏁版嵁榪涜( )鐨勭粺璁℃楠屻€?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€涓夈€佺畝絳?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€1銆佷竴浣嶇爺絀惰€呯敤2*4鐨勬柟宸垎鏋愮爺絀舵垚灝卞姩鏈哄闂瑙ｅ喅鐨勫鏄撶▼搴︾殑褰卞搷(鎴愬氨鍔ㄦ満2姘村鉤錛岃В鍐抽棶棰樼殑瀹規(guī)槗紼嬪害鏈?span lang="EN-US">4涓按騫?span lang="EN-US">)錛岄噰鍙栫粍闂磋璁★紝璁懼悇鍗曚綅涓湁6涓璇曘€備笅鍒楁柟宸垎鏋愭爣鎬葷粨浜嗗疄楠岀粨鏋滐紝濉厖琛ㄥ€鹼細(xì)

銆€銆€鏉ユ簮 SS df MS

銆€銆€澶勭悊闂?span lang="EN-US"> 280 __

銆€銆€___ __ __ F=

銆€銆€___ __ 48 F=

銆€銆€120 __ __

銆€銆€澶勭悊鍐?span lang="EN-US"> ___ __ __ F=

銆€銆€鎬誨拰 600 __

銆€銆€2銆佸鐢熻緟瀵間腑蹇冨姙浜嗕竴緋誨垪瀛︿範(fàn)鏂規(guī)硶鐨勮搴э紝涓鴻瘎浼版暣涓郴鍒楄搴х殑鏁堟灉錛岄殢鏈烘娊鍙栦簡25涓弬鍔犺搴х殑瀛︾敓錛岃皟鏌ヤ簡浠栦滑鍦ㄧ郴鍒楄搴у紑濮嬪墠閭ｄ釜瀛︽湡鐨?span lang="EN-US">GPA鍜岀郴鍒楄搴х粨鏉熷悗閭ｄ釜瀛︽湡鐨?span lang="EN-US"> GPA錛屼粠 宸紓鍧囧€煎垎甯冪湅錛岃繖25涓弬鍔犺搴х殑瀛︾敓鎻愰珮浜?span lang="EN-US">D1=0.72錛屽拰鏂?span lang="EN-US">SS=24錛岀敤鏁版嵁鏉ュ緋誨垪璁插駭鎻愰珮 GPA鐨勬晥搴旇繘琛岀偣浼拌鍜?span lang="EN-US">90%鐨勫尯闂翠及璁°€?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€3銆佷笅闈㈢殑瀹為獙琛ㄦ槑琚瘯鍦ㄤ笉鍚屽敜閱掓按騫沖畬鎴愪笉鍚岄毦搴︿換鍔＄殑浣滀笟鎴愮嘩錛屾牴鎹亣璁炬楠岀殑緇撴灉鐢?鍥撅紝鎻忚堪騫惰В閲婁換鍔￠毦搴︿笌鍞ら啋姘村鉤涔嬮棿鐨勪氦浜掍綔鐢ㄣ€?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鍞ら啋姘村鉤

銆€銆€浣?涓?楂?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€n=10 n=10 n=10

銆€銆€綆€鍗曚換鍔?span lang="EN-US"> X=80 X=100 X=120

銆€銆€SS=30 SS=36 SS=45

銆€銆€澶嶆潅浠誨姟 n=10 n=10 n=10

銆€銆€X=60 X=100 X=80

銆€銆€SS=42 SS=27 SS=36

銆€銆€危X^2=5296

銆€銆€4銆佷竴浣嶇墮絀惰€呭彂鐜板ぇ鐧介紶鍦?span lang="EN-US">T鍨嬭糠媧ュ疄楠屼腑鏈夊彸杞集鐨勫亸濂斤紝鍦?span lang="EN-US">20嬈＄郴鍒楀疄楠屼腑錛屼竴鍙ぇ 鐧介紶鍙?杞?span lang="EN-US">17嬈★紝宸﹁漿3嬈★紝鐢ㄩ€傚綋鐨勫亣璁炬楠岄獙璇佸ぇ鐧介紶鍦?span lang="EN-US">T鍨嬭糠媧ヤ腑鍙寵漿寮ソ鍋忓ソ鏄惁鍦ㄧ粺璁′笂鏄捐憲?

銆€銆€5銆佷笅闈袱涓〃涓姤鍛婄殑鏄爺絀惰€呭緩绔嬬殑棰勬祴澶у鐢熸槸鍚︽効鎰忔眰鍔?font color="#0000ff">蹇冪悊鍜ㄨ鐨勫洖褰掓ā鍨嬶紝瑙ｉ噴鍜屾姤鍛婄粨鏋溿€?span lang="EN-US">(娉細(xì)2003騫寸殑璇曢娌℃湁鑻辮棰?span lang="EN-US">)

銆€銆€Model Summary

銆€銆€R R Adjusted Std. Error of charge

銆€銆€Statistics

銆€銆€R square R square the Estimate R charge F

銆€銆€charge Sig. F charge

銆€銆€Mode

銆€銆€1 .248 .062 .058 17.804 .062

銆€銆€17.040 .000

銆€銆€2 .294 .087 .080 17.598 .025

銆€銆€7.111 .008

銆€銆€1 Predictors 瀵?a target="_blank">蹇冪悊鍜ㄨ鐨勭湅娉?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€2 Predictors 瀵瑰績鐞嗗挩璇㈢殑鐪嬫硶錛岄亣鍒扮殑闂綾誨瀷鏄惁涓庝漢闄呭叧緋繪湁鍏熾€?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€Coefficients

銆€銆€Unstandardized Standardized

銆€銆€Coefficients Coefficients t Sig.

銆€銆€Mode B std. Error Beta

銆€銆€1(constant) 25.639 4.164 .248 6.157 .000

銆€銆€瀵瑰績鐞嗗挩璇㈢殑鐪嬫硶 .346 .084 4.128 .000

銆€銆€2(constant) 24.510 4.138 .240 5.923 .000

銆€銆€瀵瑰績鐞嗗挩璇㈢殑鐪嬫硶 .335 .083 4.035 .000

銆€銆€閬囧埌闂鐨勭被鍨?span lang="EN-US"> 6.722 2.521. .159 2.667 .008

銆€銆€鏄惁涓庝漢闄呭叧緋繪湁鍏?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鍥涖€佸簲鐢ㄩ

銆€銆€1銆佷竴浣嶇爺絀惰€呭鏅哄晢涓?span lang="EN-US">5宀佸効绔ヨ瘝姹囬噺鐨勫叧緋繪劅鍏磋叮錛?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€A銆佽В閲婂浣曠敤縐樊鐩稿叧鑰冨療榪欎釜闂錛屽叿浣撴弿榪扮爺絀惰€呭簲褰撳浣曟敹闆嗘暟鎹?span lang="EN-US">?

銆€銆€B銆佽В閲婂浣曠敤鍗℃柟鐙珛鎬ф楠岃€冨療榪欎釜闂錛屽叿浣撴弿榪扮爺絀惰€呭簲褰撳浣曟敹闆嗘暟鎹?span lang="EN-US">?

銆€銆€2銆佷笅闈㈢殑瀹為獙鏄劇ず浜嗙潯鐪犲墺澶哄鏅哄姏媧誨姩鐨勫獎鍝嶏紝8涓璇曞悓鎰?span lang="EN-US">48涓皬鏃朵繚鎸佷笉鐫＄湢錛屾瘡

銆€銆€闅?span lang="EN-US">12涓?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€灝忔椂錛岀爺絀惰€呯粰琚瘯鑻ュ共綆楁湳棰橈紝琛ㄤ腑璁板綍浜?span lang="EN-US">10鍒嗛挓鍐呰璇曟紜В鍐崇殑綆楁湳棰樻暟鐩€?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€鐫＄湢鍓ュず鏃墮棿

銆€銆€琚瘯 12 24 36 48

銆€銆€-------------------------------------------

銆€銆€1 8 7 8 6

銆€銆€2 10 12 9 11

銆€銆€3 9 9 8 10

銆€銆€4 7 8 6 6

銆€銆€5 12 10 10 8

銆€銆€6 10 9 12 8

銆€銆€7 7 7 6 8

銆€銆€8 9 10 11 11

銆€銆€鏍規(guī)嵁涓婅堪鏁版嵁錛岀爺絀惰€呰兘鍚﹀仛鍑虹潯鐪犲墺澶哄琚瘯鍩烘湰鏅哄姏媧誨姩鏈夋樉钁楀獎鍝嶇殑緇撹?鍦?span lang="EN-US">

銆€銆€a=0.05姘村鉤 浣滃亣璁炬楠屽拰浜嬪悗媯€楠屻€?span lang="EN-US">

聽